Trump and Hillary Split in Iowa Polls
A recent poll shows Iowans teetering on the political fence. Negative opinions are high with Trump at 58% unfavorable and Clinton at 62 percent unfavorable. Conducted by Emerson College between August 31st and September 2nd, the poll shows a dislike of either candidate. While Trump leads the poll with a 37 percent favorable opinion, some 16 percent of Iowan independents are passing their vote to third-party candidate Gary Johnson.
Iowa State Elections
At the state level, 25 senate seats are up for election. Iowa holds a mostly democratic state senate, with only two districts predicted to flip to the GOP in November. At the national level, the senate race sees incumbent democrat Chuck Grassley at 48 percent favorability and previous Lieutenant Governor Patty Judge at 34 percent favorability. As a longtime seat-holder, Grassley is expected a win in November.
Iowa Voting History
Historically, Iowa is battleground state. Voting democrat in five of the past six presidential elections, Iowa tends to be left leaning. In 2012, Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney 52 percent to 46 percent. The 2016 election seems to have Iowa split. With Trump leading the middle-age vote at 47 percent and Hilary leading the youth vote at 47 percent, voters are experiencing a divide.
Iowa Caucuses
With only six electoral votes, Iowa may seem like an insignificant win. However, its spring caucuses mark the start of the presidential nomination process. Similar to state primaries, Iowa caucuses are used to vote for preferred candidates. Unlike primaries, Iowans use caucuses to discuss and debate their political beliefs. As the fist state to vote in these preliminary elections, candidates take the Iowa caucuses seriously, planning campaigning and canvassing throughout the state.
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